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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

15:30

Venue

Asito Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heracles Win

41%

Heracles

2.46

26%

Draw

3.87

33%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Heracles xG

Total xG

2.68

1.26

Sparta Rotterdam xG

41%
26%
33%
HeraclesDrawSparta Rotterdam

2.46

41%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

28%

Heracles

3.53

24%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.12

Win to Nil

12%

Heracles

8.67

8%

Sparta Rotterdam

12.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.7 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.7 12.3 7.7 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.9 8.7 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.3 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.417
λ Away (xG) 1.261
Total xG 2.678
League avg home goals 1.713
League avg away goals 1.300
Heracles attack strength 0.979
Heracles defence strength 1.165
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.832
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.845
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 51