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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Asito Stadium

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heracles Win

42%

Heracles

2.39

28%

Draw

3.53

30%

NEC Nijmegen

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Heracles xG

Total xG

2.81

1.27

NEC Nijmegen xG

42%
28%
30%
HeraclesDrawNEC Nijmegen

2.39

42%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

28%

Heracles

3.56

22%

NEC Nijmegen

4.65

Win to Nil

12%

Heracles

8.51

6%

NEC Nijmegen

15.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 7.7 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.3 11.8 7.5 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.1 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.7 4.6 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.536
λ Away (xG) 1.270
Total xG 2.806
League avg home goals 1.772
League avg away goals 1.181
Heracles attack strength 1.004
Heracles defence strength 1.100
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 0.978
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 0.864
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35