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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 20 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Asito Stadium

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heracles Win

40%

Heracles

2.52

28%

Draw

3.54

32%

Excelsior

3.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Heracles xG

Total xG

2.65

1.24

Excelsior xG

40%
28%
32%
HeraclesDrawExcelsior

2.52

40%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

3.11

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

29%

Heracles

3.47

25%

Excelsior

4.08

Win to Nil

11%

Heracles

8.75

8%

Excelsior

12.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 8.8 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.9 12.4 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 7.0 8.7 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.3 4.1 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.406
λ Away (xG) 1.244
Total xG 2.650
League avg home goals 1.697
League avg away goals 1.361
Heracles attack strength 0.818
Heracles defence strength 1.155
Excelsior attack strength 0.791
Excelsior defence strength 1.013
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 27