🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Heracles Win
42%
2.39
24%
4.25
35%
2.89
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.5%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.6%
Home win
1 – 2
7.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.81
Heracles xG
Total xG
3.44
1.63
AZ Alkmaar xG
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
2.39
42%
Home win
4.25
24%
Draw
2.89
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
26%
Over 4.5
3.85
74%
Under 4.5
1.35
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.47
32%
BTTS No
3.11
Clean Sheet
20%
5.11
16%
6.09
Win to Nil
8%
12.20
6%
17.62
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 9.5 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 8.6 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.807
λ Away (xG)
1.631
Total xG
3.438
League avg home goals
1.615
League avg away goals
1.318
Heracles attack strength
1.144
Heracles defence strength
1.053
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.174
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.978
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
62 / 62