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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Asito Stadium

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajax Win

28%

Heracles

3.52

29%

Draw

3.39

42%

Ajax

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Heracles xG

Total xG

2.90

1.61

Ajax xG

28%
29%
42%
HeraclesDrawAjax

3.52

28%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

20%

Heracles

4.98

27%

Ajax

3.66

Win to Nil

6%

Heracles

17.55

12%

Ajax

8.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.8 7.1 3.8 1.5 0.5
1 7.1 11.4 9.2 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 4.6 7.4 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.0 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.297
λ Away (xG) 1.606
Total xG 2.903
League avg home goals 1.702
League avg away goals 1.292
Heracles attack strength 0.796
Heracles defence strength 1.154
Ajax attack strength 1.077
Ajax defence strength 0.957
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63