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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Heerenveen Win
63%
1.58
21%
4.68
15%
6.59
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.6%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.5%
Home win
1 – 1
9.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.98
Heerenveen xG
Total xG
2.84
0.86
Willem II xG
HeerenveenDrawWillem II
1.58
63%
Home win
4.68
21%
Draw
6.59
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.01
50%
BTTS No
1.99
Clean Sheet
42%
2.35
14%
7.26
Win to Nil
27%
3.71
2%
47.81
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 11.6 | 9.9 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.5 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 7.6 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.982
λ Away (xG)
0.856
Total xG
2.838
League avg home goals
1.599
League avg away goals
1.344
Heerenveen attack strength
1.031
Heerenveen defence strength
0.979
Willem II attack strength
0.651
Willem II defence strength
1.203
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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