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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

15:45

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heerenveen Win

45%

Heerenveen

2.21

25%

Draw

3.93

29%

Twente

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Heerenveen xG

Total xG

2.69

1.17

Twente xG

45%
25%
29%
HeerenveenDrawTwente

2.21

45%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

31%

Heerenveen

3.23

22%

Twente

4.57

Win to Nil

14%

Heerenveen

7.12

6%

Twente

15.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 7.9 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.3 12.1 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.2 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.0 4.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.519
λ Away (xG) 1.171
Total xG 2.690
League avg home goals 1.691
League avg away goals 1.363
Heerenveen attack strength 0.852
Heerenveen defence strength 0.857
Twente attack strength 1.003
Twente defence strength 1.055
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 54