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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Heerenveen Win
43%
2.34
23%
4.42
35%
2.88
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.4%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.6%
Home win
1 – 2
7.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.82
Heerenveen xG
Total xG
3.46
1.63
Sparta Rotterdam xG
HeerenveenDrawSparta Rotterdam
2.34
43%
Home win
4.42
23%
Draw
2.88
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.48
32%
BTTS No
3.09
Clean Sheet
20%
5.12
16%
6.20
Win to Nil
8%
12.00
6%
17.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 5.1 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.7 | 9.4 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 8.6 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.825
λ Away (xG)
1.633
Total xG
3.458
League avg home goals
1.661
League avg away goals
1.368
Heerenveen attack strength
1.075
Heerenveen defence strength
1.140
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength
1.046
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength
1.022
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
58 / 58