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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

13:30

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heerenveen Win

53%

Heerenveen

1.89

26%

Draw

3.89

21%

NEC Nijmegen

4.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Heerenveen xG

Total xG

2.56

0.94

NEC Nijmegen xG

53%
26%
21%
HeerenveenDrawNEC Nijmegen

1.89

53%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

4.70

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

39%

Heerenveen

2.55

20%

NEC Nijmegen

5.07

Win to Nil

21%

Heerenveen

4.82

4%

NEC Nijmegen

23.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 7.2 3.4 1.1 0.2
1 12.5 11.8 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.5 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.5 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.624
λ Away (xG) 0.938
Total xG 2.562
League avg home goals 1.638
League avg away goals 1.298
Heerenveen attack strength 1.089
Heerenveen defence strength 1.026
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 0.705
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 0.910
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 63