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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

13:30

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heerenveen Win

73%

Heerenveen

1.37

17%

Draw

6.02

10%

Heracles

9.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.7%

Home win

3 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.77

Heerenveen xG

Total xG

3.79

1.02

Heracles xG

73%
17%
HeerenveenDrawHeracles

1.37

73%

Home win

6.02

17%

Draw

9.59

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

36%

Heerenveen

2.77

6%

Heracles

15.88

Win to Nil

26%

Heerenveen

3.80

1%

Heracles

152.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 6.3 6.4 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
2 8.7 8.9 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 8.0 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 5.5 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.1
5 3.1 3.1 1.6 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.765
λ Away (xG) 1.020
Total xG 3.785
League avg home goals 1.726
League avg away goals 1.320
Heerenveen attack strength 1.096
Heerenveen defence strength 1.020
Heracles attack strength 0.758
Heracles defence strength 1.462
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62