🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Heerenveen Win
52%
1.91
26%
3.90
22%
4.55
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.8%
Draw
2 – 0
6.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.13
Heerenveen xG
Total xG
3.50
1.37
Fortuna Sittard xG
HeerenveenDrawFortuna Sittard
1.91
52%
Home win
3.90
26%
Draw
4.55
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
68%
Over 2.5
1.47
32%
Under 2.5
3.12
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
28%
Over 4.5
3.57
72%
Under 4.5
1.39
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.47
32%
BTTS No
3.15
Clean Sheet
25%
3.95
12%
8.42
Win to Nil
13%
7.54
3%
38.29
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 9.4 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.131
λ Away (xG)
1.374
Total xG
3.505
League avg home goals
1.720
League avg away goals
1.276
Heerenveen attack strength
1.143
Heerenveen defence strength
1.042
Fortuna Sittard attack strength
1.034
Fortuna Sittard defence strength
1.083
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 64