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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 11 Jan 2026

11:15

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Feyenoord Win

32%

Heerenveen

3.09

22%

Draw

4.49

45%

Feyenoord

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Heerenveen xG

Total xG

3.42

1.87

Feyenoord xG

32%
22%
45%
HeerenveenDrawFeyenoord

3.09

32%

Home win

4.49

22%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

3.00

Clean Sheet

15%

Heerenveen

6.48

21%

Feyenoord

4.73

Win to Nil

5%

Heerenveen

20.00

10%

Feyenoord

10.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 6.1 5.7 3.5 1.7 0.6
1 5.1 9.5 8.9 5.5 2.6 1.0
2 3.9 7.4 6.9 4.3 2.0 0.7
3 2.0 3.8 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.4
4 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.554
λ Away (xG) 1.868
Total xG 3.422
League avg home goals 1.645
League avg away goals 1.392
Heerenveen attack strength 1.071
Heerenveen defence strength 1.070
Feyenoord attack strength 1.254
Feyenoord defence strength 0.882
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51