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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heerenveen Win

62%

Heerenveen

1.61

23%

Draw

4.36

15%

FC Volendam

6.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.10

Heerenveen xG

Total xG

3.06

0.96

FC Volendam xG

62%
23%
15%
HeerenveenDrawFC Volendam

1.61

62%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

6.67

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

38%

Heerenveen

2.61

12%

FC Volendam

8.13

Win to Nil

24%

Heerenveen

4.21

2%

FC Volendam

54.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 4.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.9 9.5 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.9 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 7.2 6.9 3.3 1.1 0.3
4 3.8 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.095
λ Away (xG) 0.961
Total xG 3.056
League avg home goals 1.761
League avg away goals 1.246
Heerenveen attack strength 1.035
Heerenveen defence strength 0.908
FC Volendam attack strength 0.850
FC Volendam defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0