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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Heerenveen Win
64%
1.57
18%
5.41
18%
5.62
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
7.9%
Draw
2 – 0
7.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.40
Heerenveen xG
Total xG
3.61
1.21
Excelsior xG
HeerenveenDrawExcelsior
1.57
64%
Home win
5.41
18%
Draw
5.62
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
70%
Over 2.5
1.43
30%
Under 2.5
3.33
49%
Over 3.5
2.04
51%
Under 3.5
1.96
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.57
36%
BTTS No
2.76
Clean Sheet
30%
3.34
9%
11.01
Win to Nil
19%
5.25
2%
61.90
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.8 | 9.4 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.399
λ Away (xG)
1.207
Total xG
3.606
League avg home goals
1.696
League avg away goals
1.449
Heerenveen attack strength
1.025
Heerenveen defence strength
1.018
Excelsior attack strength
0.818
Excelsior defence strength
1.380
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
41 / 7