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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heerenveen Win

58%

Heerenveen

1.73

24%

Draw

4.20

18%

Almere City FC

5.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Heerenveen xG

Total xG

2.73

0.93

Almere City FC xG

58%
24%
18%
HeerenveenDrawAlmere City FC

1.73

58%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

5.41

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

40%

Heerenveen

2.52

16%

Almere City FC

6.10

Win to Nil

23%

Heerenveen

4.37

3%

Almere City FC

33.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.0 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 11.8 10.9 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 9.8 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.4 5.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 2.9 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.809
λ Away (xG) 0.925
Total xG 2.734
League avg home goals 1.606
League avg away goals 1.301
Heerenveen attack strength 1.107
Heerenveen defence strength 1.011
Almere City FC attack strength 0.703
Almere City FC defence strength 1.018
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63