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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

15:45

Venue

Euroborg

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Groningen Win

45%

Groningen

2.21

28%

Draw

3.59

27%

AZ Alkmaar

3.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Groningen xG

Total xG

2.77

1.18

AZ Alkmaar xG

45%
28%
27%
GroningenDrawAZ Alkmaar

2.21

45%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

3.72

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

31%

Groningen

3.26

20%

AZ Alkmaar

4.90

Win to Nil

14%

Groningen

7.21

5%

AZ Alkmaar

18.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.4 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.9 11.8 7.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.3 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 4.2 4.9 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.589
λ Away (xG) 1.183
Total xG 2.772
League avg home goals 1.693
League avg away goals 1.343
Groningen attack strength 0.939
Groningen defence strength 0.955
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 0.922
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61