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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

15:30

Venue

Euroborg

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajax Win

32%

Groningen

3.16

27%

Draw

3.72

42%

Ajax

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Groningen xG

Total xG

2.78

1.50

Ajax xG

32%
27%
42%
GroningenDrawAjax

3.16

32%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

2.41

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

22%

Groningen

4.48

28%

Ajax

3.60

Win to Nil

7%

Groningen

14.17

12%

Ajax

8.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 9.3 7.0 3.5 1.3 0.4
1 7.9 11.9 8.9 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 5.1 7.6 5.7 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.2 3.3 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.282
λ Away (xG) 1.500
Total xG 2.782
League avg home goals 1.643
League avg away goals 1.336
Groningen attack strength 0.843
Groningen defence strength 0.991
Ajax attack strength 1.134
Ajax defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59