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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

13:30

Venue

De Adelaarshorst

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GO Ahead Eagles Win

47%

GO Ahead Eagles

2.11

26%

Draw

3.90

27%

AZ Alkmaar

3.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

GO Ahead Eagles xG

Total xG

3.04

1.29

AZ Alkmaar xG

47%
26%
27%
GO Ahead EaglesDrawAZ Alkmaar

2.11

47%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

3.70

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

28%

GO Ahead Eagles

3.63

17%

AZ Alkmaar

5.79

Win to Nil

13%

GO Ahead Eagles

7.67

5%

AZ Alkmaar

21.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.1 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.4 10.8 6.9 3.0 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.3 5.5 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.756
λ Away (xG) 1.289
Total xG 3.045
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.305
GO Ahead Eagles attack strength 1.142
GO Ahead Eagles defence strength 0.940
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 1.051
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 0.936
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64