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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 8 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Sittard Win

39%

Fortuna Sittard

2.59

29%

Draw

3.49

33%

GO Ahead Eagles

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Fortuna Sittard xG

Total xG

2.78

1.33

GO Ahead Eagles xG

39%
29%
33%
Fortuna SittardDrawGO Ahead Eagles

2.59

39%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

27%

Fortuna Sittard

3.77

23%

GO Ahead Eagles

4.29

Win to Nil

10%

Fortuna Sittard

9.76

8%

GO Ahead Eagles

13.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.2 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.0 11.9 7.9 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 8.7 5.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 3.2 4.2 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.457
λ Away (xG) 1.327
Total xG 2.784
League avg home goals 1.689
League avg away goals 1.298
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.791
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 0.965
GO Ahead Eagles attack strength 1.060
GO Ahead Eagles defence strength 1.091
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34