Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 21 Dec 2025

15:45

Venue

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AZ Alkmaar Win

35%

Fortuna Sittard

2.86

28%

Draw

3.57

37%

AZ Alkmaar

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Fortuna Sittard xG

Total xG

2.34

1.19

AZ Alkmaar xG

35%
28%
37%
Fortuna SittardDrawAZ Alkmaar

2.86

35%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

30%

Fortuna Sittard

3.30

32%

AZ Alkmaar

3.16

Win to Nil

11%

Fortuna Sittard

9.44

12%

AZ Alkmaar

8.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 11.4 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.0 13.2 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.4 7.6 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.4 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.151
λ Away (xG) 1.193
Total xG 2.344
League avg home goals 1.663
League avg away goals 1.410
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.830
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 0.948
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 0.893
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 0.834
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 49