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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
17%
5.96
19%
5.15
64%
1.57
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.8%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 2
9.4%
Away win
1 – 1
8.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.05
Fortuna Sittard xG
Total xG
3.26
2.21
Ajax xG
Fortuna SittardDrawAjax
5.96
17%
Home win
5.15
19%
Draw
1.57
64%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.73
42%
BTTS No
2.37
Clean Sheet
11%
9.16
35%
2.85
Win to Nil
2%
54.60
22%
4.47
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8 | 8.5 | 9.4 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 1 | 4.0 | 8.9 | 9.8 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 1.8 |
| 2 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.048
λ Away (xG)
2.215
Total xG
3.263
League avg home goals
1.667
League avg away goals
1.380
Fortuna Sittard attack strength
0.833
Fortuna Sittard defence strength
1.291
Ajax attack strength
1.244
Ajax defence strength
0.754
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 54