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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Feyenoord cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Fortuna Sittard.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Feyenoord beat Fortuna Sittard 2-0 at De Kuip, Regular Season - 3, in the Eredivisie. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Feyenoord 1.79 xG and Fortuna Sittard 1.08 xG, a combined 2.86. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Fortuna Sittard landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Feyenoord attack 1.04 / defence 0.73 against Fortuna Sittard attack 1.06 / defence 1.03, drawn from 38/38 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Feyenoord 54% | Draw 23% | Fortuna Sittard 23%, with Feyenoord to win its most likely call at 54%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Feyenoord 58%, Fortuna Sittard 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Feyenoord's trading profile (38 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one.

Fortuna Sittard's trading profile (38 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Feyenoord arrived the stronger side — 2.11 PPG against 1.26. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Feyenoord (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.95 average — tighter than their form line. Fortuna Sittard (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.26 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights