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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:30

Venue

Kras Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajax Win

35%

FC Volendam

2.85

25%

Draw

3.99

40%

Ajax

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

FC Volendam xG

Total xG

3.27

1.69

Ajax xG

35%
25%
40%
FC VolendamDrawAjax

2.85

35%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.91

Clean Sheet

18%

FC Volendam

5.43

21%

Ajax

4.84

Win to Nil

6%

FC Volendam

15.50

8%

Ajax

12.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 6.4 5.5 3.1 1.3 0.4
1 6.0 10.2 8.6 4.8 2.0 0.7
2 4.7 8.0 6.8 3.8 1.6 0.5
3 2.5 4.2 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3
4 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.576
λ Away (xG) 1.692
Total xG 3.268
League avg home goals 1.801
League avg away goals 1.295
FC Volendam attack strength 0.926
FC Volendam defence strength 1.192
Ajax attack strength 1.096
Ajax defence strength 0.946
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 3 / 37