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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Stadion Woudestein

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Excelsior Win

34%

Excelsior

2.95

33%

Draw

3.04

33%

Telstar

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Excelsior xG

Total xG

1.80

0.89

Telstar xG

34%
33%
33%
ExcelsiorDrawTelstar

2.95

34%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.84

65%

BTTS No

1.54

Clean Sheet

41%

Excelsior

2.44

40%

Telstar

2.47

Win to Nil

14%

Excelsior

7.22

13%

Telstar

7.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.5 14.8 6.6 2.0 0.4 0.1
1 15.0 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 6.8 6.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
3 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.905
λ Away (xG) 0.894
Total xG 1.799
League avg home goals 1.678
League avg away goals 1.402
Excelsior attack strength 0.662
Excelsior defence strength 0.980
Telstar attack strength 0.651
Telstar defence strength 0.814
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 18