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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Heerenveen Win
28%
3.64
25%
3.93
47%
2.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.4%
Away win
0 – 1
8.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.25
Excelsior xG
Total xG
2.95
1.70
Heerenveen xG
ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
3.64
28%
Home win
3.93
25%
Draw
2.12
47%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.69
41%
BTTS No
2.45
Clean Sheet
18%
5.46
29%
3.50
Win to Nil
5%
19.86
13%
7.45
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2 | 8.9 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 11.1 | 9.4 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 4.1 | 7.0 | 5.9 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.254
λ Away (xG)
1.698
Total xG
2.952
League avg home goals
1.652
League avg away goals
1.329
Excelsior attack strength
0.689
Excelsior defence strength
1.143
Heerenveen attack strength
1.118
Heerenveen defence strength
1.101
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
25 / 59