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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Relegation Round

Kick-off

Wed 21 May 2025

17:45

Venue

M-Scores Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dordrecht Win

48%

Dordrecht

2.09

30%

Draw

3.29

22%

Willem II

4.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Dordrecht xG

Total xG

2.50

0.97

Willem II xG

48%
30%
22%
DordrechtDrawWillem II

2.09

48%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

4.61

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

38%

Dordrecht

2.64

22%

Willem II

4.61

Win to Nil

18%

Dordrecht

5.52

5%

Willem II

21.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 8.0 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 12.5 12.2 5.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.3 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.9 4.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.529
λ Away (xG) 0.972
Total xG 2.501
League avg home goals 1.617
League avg away goals 1.304
Dordrecht attack strength 0.850
Dordrecht defence strength 1.150
Willem II attack strength 0.648
Willem II defence strength 1.112
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 34