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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
58%
1.73
23%
4.34
19%
5.23
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
10.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
10.6%
Draw
2 – 0
10.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.86
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
2.84
0.98
Waalwijk xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawWaalwijk
1.73
58%
Home win
4.34
23%
Draw
5.23
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.89
47%
BTTS No
2.13
Clean Sheet
38%
2.66
16%
6.44
Win to Nil
22%
4.59
3%
33.68
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 10.9 | 10.6 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.863
λ Away (xG)
0.977
Total xG
2.840
League avg home goals
1.583
League avg away goals
1.333
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.005
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.812
Waalwijk attack strength
0.903
Waalwijk defence strength
1.171
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 60