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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
52%
1.94
21%
4.73
27%
3.66
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.7%
Draw
2 – 2
6.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.08
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
3.56
1.48
Utrecht xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawUtrecht
1.94
52%
Home win
4.73
21%
Draw
3.66
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
69%
Over 2.5
1.45
31%
Under 2.5
3.23
48%
Over 3.5
2.08
52%
Under 3.5
1.92
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.48
32%
BTTS No
3.09
Clean Sheet
23%
4.39
12%
8.03
Win to Nil
12%
8.52
3%
29.38
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 5.9 | 8.7 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 9.1 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.083
λ Away (xG)
1.480
Total xG
3.563
League avg home goals
1.684
League avg away goals
1.576
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.261
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.993
Utrecht attack strength
0.946
Utrecht defence strength
0.981
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
43 / 43