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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

15:45

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sparta Rotterdam Win

33%

AZ Alkmaar

3.04

24%

Draw

4.14

43%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

2 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

AZ Alkmaar xG

Total xG

3.11

1.67

Sparta Rotterdam xG

33%
24%
43%
AZ AlkmaarDrawSparta Rotterdam

3.04

33%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

19%

AZ Alkmaar

5.33

24%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.22

Win to Nil

6%

AZ Alkmaar

16.23

10%

Sparta Rotterdam

9.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 7.4 6.2 3.5 1.5 0.5
1 6.4 10.7 9.0 5.0 2.1 0.7
2 4.6 7.7 6.5 3.6 1.5 0.5
3 2.2 3.7 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.440
λ Away (xG) 1.674
Total xG 3.114
League avg home goals 1.633
League avg away goals 1.387
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 0.949
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 1.109
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 1.088
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57