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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

15:45

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AZ Alkmaar Win

49%

AZ Alkmaar

2.05

26%

Draw

3.78

25%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

AZ Alkmaar xG

Total xG

2.41

0.95

Sparta Rotterdam xG

49%
26%
25%
AZ AlkmaarDrawSparta Rotterdam

2.05

49%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

4.05

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

39%

AZ Alkmaar

2.60

23%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.30

Win to Nil

19%

AZ Alkmaar

5.32

6%

Sparta Rotterdam

17.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 8.5 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.1 12.5 5.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.1 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.6 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.459
λ Away (xG) 0.954
Total xG 2.413
League avg home goals 1.670
League avg away goals 1.320
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 1.050
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 0.866
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.834
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.832
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53