🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
45%
2.22
25%
4.06
30%
3.29
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.6%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.2%
Home win
1 – 0
9.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.59
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
2.86
1.27
PEC Zwolle xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
2.22
45%
Home win
4.06
25%
Draw
3.29
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.75
43%
BTTS No
2.34
Clean Sheet
28%
3.55
20%
4.92
Win to Nil
13%
7.88
6%
16.19
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 11.6 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.3 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.593
λ Away (xG)
1.266
Total xG
2.859
League avg home goals
1.691
League avg away goals
1.363
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.005
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.942
PEC Zwolle attack strength
0.986
PEC Zwolle defence strength
0.937
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 55