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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
68%
1.47
23%
4.38
9%
11.05
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
12.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
10.6%
Home win
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.27
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
3.06
0.80
NAC Breda xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawNAC Breda
1.47
68%
Home win
4.38
23%
Draw
11.05
9%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.93
48%
BTTS No
2.07
Clean Sheet
45%
2.22
10%
9.66
Win to Nil
31%
3.25
1%
106.74
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 10.6 | 8.4 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.0 | 9.6 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 9.1 | 7.2 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.268
λ Away (xG)
0.796
Total xG
3.064
League avg home goals
1.714
League avg away goals
1.289
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.164
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.903
NAC Breda attack strength
0.684
NAC Breda defence strength
1.137
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67