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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
61%
1.65
23%
4.36
16%
6.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.2%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.4%
Home win
1 – 1
10.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.87
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
2.73
0.86
NAC Breda xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawNAC Breda
1.65
61%
Home win
4.36
23%
Draw
6.12
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.03
51%
BTTS No
1.97
Clean Sheet
42%
2.36
15%
6.48
Win to Nil
26%
3.89
3%
39.67
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 12.2 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.4 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.869
λ Away (xG)
0.860
Total xG
2.729
League avg home goals
1.655
League avg away goals
1.291
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
0.915
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.877
NAC Breda attack strength
0.759
NAC Breda defence strength
1.234
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
63 / 29