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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
49%
2.02
27%
3.73
24%
4.22
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.6%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
1 – 0
7.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.97
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
3.31
1.34
Heerenveen xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
2.02
49%
Home win
3.73
27%
Draw
4.22
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
42%
Over 3.5
2.38
58%
Under 3.5
1.72
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.51
34%
BTTS No
2.94
Clean Sheet
26%
3.83
14%
7.14
Win to Nil
13%
7.75
3%
30.14
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 9.6 | 6.5 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 9.5 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.966
λ Away (xG)
1.344
Total xG
3.310
League avg home goals
1.680
League avg away goals
1.307
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.110
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.919
Heerenveen attack strength
1.120
Heerenveen defence strength
1.054
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
63 / 63