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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
58%
1.72
27%
3.67
15%
6.82
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.6%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.9%
Home win
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.76
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
2.56
0.80
Heerenveen xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
1.72
58%
Home win
3.67
27%
Draw
6.82
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.09
52%
BTTS No
1.92
Clean Sheet
45%
2.23
17%
5.82
Win to Nil
26%
3.84
3%
39.70
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 13.6 | 10.9 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.9 | 9.6 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 7.0 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.762
λ Away (xG)
0.803
Total xG
2.565
League avg home goals
1.617
League avg away goals
1.304
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
0.902
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.862
Heerenveen attack strength
0.715
Heerenveen defence strength
1.208
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 68