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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
56%
1.78
25%
3.94
18%
5.44
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.6%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.5%
Home win
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.88
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
2.89
1.01
Groningen xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
1.78
56%
Home win
3.94
25%
Draw
5.44
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.81
45%
BTTS No
2.24
Clean Sheet
36%
2.74
15%
6.55
Win to Nil
21%
4.87
3%
35.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.880
λ Away (xG)
1.008
Total xG
2.888
League avg home goals
1.774
League avg away goals
1.211
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
0.946
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.936
Groningen attack strength
0.889
Groningen defence strength
1.121
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
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