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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

13:30

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AZ Alkmaar Win

56%

AZ Alkmaar

1.80

19%

Draw

5.30

26%

GO Ahead Eagles

3.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 2

6.8%

Draw

3 – 1

6.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.49

AZ Alkmaar xG

Total xG

4.17

1.68

GO Ahead Eagles xG

56%
19%
26%
AZ AlkmaarDrawGO Ahead Eagles

1.80

56%

Home win

5.30

19%

Draw

3.91

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

60%

Over 3.5

1.67

40%

Under 3.5

2.50

41%

Over 4.5

2.44

59%

Under 4.5

1.69

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

75%

BTTS Yes

1.34

25%

BTTS No

3.95

Clean Sheet

19%

AZ Alkmaar

5.38

8%

GO Ahead Eagles

12.09

Win to Nil

10%

AZ Alkmaar

9.69

2%

GO Ahead Eagles

47.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 2.6 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
1 3.8 6.4 5.4 3.0 1.3 0.4
2 4.8 8.0 6.8 3.8 1.6 0.5
3 4.0 6.7 5.6 3.2 1.3 0.4
4 2.5 4.2 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.3
5 1.2 2.1 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.492
λ Away (xG) 1.683
Total xG 4.175
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.421
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 1.252
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 1.218
GO Ahead Eagles attack strength 0.973
GO Ahead Eagles defence strength 1.164
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48