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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
49%
2.05
24%
4.22
28%
3.63
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.0%
Draw
2 – 2
6.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.02
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
3.52
1.50
Fortuna Sittard xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
2.05
49%
Home win
4.22
24%
Draw
3.63
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
68%
Over 2.5
1.47
32%
Under 2.5
3.12
47%
Over 3.5
2.13
53%
Under 3.5
1.89
28%
Over 4.5
3.57
72%
Under 4.5
1.39
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
69%
BTTS Yes
1.46
31%
BTTS No
3.18
Clean Sheet
22%
4.48
13%
7.57
Win to Nil
11%
9.19
4%
27.49
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.0 | 9.1 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.1 | 6.1 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.024
λ Away (xG)
1.500
Total xG
3.524
League avg home goals
1.738
League avg away goals
1.335
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.090
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
1.019
Fortuna Sittard attack strength
1.103
Fortuna Sittard defence strength
1.068
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
62 / 62