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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

15:45

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Feyenoord Win

35%

AZ Alkmaar

2.86

24%

Draw

4.25

41%

Feyenoord

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

AZ Alkmaar xG

Total xG

3.15

1.65

Feyenoord xG

35%
24%
41%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFeyenoord

2.86

35%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

2.41

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

19%

AZ Alkmaar

5.22

22%

Feyenoord

4.49

Win to Nil

7%

AZ Alkmaar

14.93

9%

Feyenoord

10.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 7.1 5.8 3.2 1.3 0.4
1 6.4 10.6 8.8 4.8 2.0 0.7
2 4.8 7.9 6.6 3.6 1.5 0.5
3 2.4 4.0 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.501
λ Away (xG) 1.653
Total xG 3.154
League avg home goals 1.623
League avg away goals 1.417
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 1.163
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 0.902
Feyenoord attack strength 1.293
Feyenoord defence strength 0.795
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 39