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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:30

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Feyenoord Win

34%

AZ Alkmaar

2.97

24%

Draw

4.16

42%

Feyenoord

2.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

AZ Alkmaar xG

Total xG

3.15

1.68

Feyenoord xG

34%
24%
42%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFeyenoord

2.97

34%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

2.36

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.70

Clean Sheet

19%

AZ Alkmaar

5.35

23%

Feyenoord

4.37

Win to Nil

6%

AZ Alkmaar

15.90

10%

Feyenoord

10.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 7.2 6.0 3.4 1.4 0.5
1 6.3 10.6 8.9 5.0 2.1 0.7
2 4.7 7.8 6.5 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 2.3 3.8 3.2 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.475
λ Away (xG) 1.677
Total xG 3.152
League avg home goals 1.607
League avg away goals 1.345
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 1.009
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 0.893
Feyenoord attack strength 1.396
Feyenoord defence strength 0.909
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61