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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 10 Jan 2026

15:30

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AZ Alkmaar Win

70%

AZ Alkmaar

1.42

17%

Draw

6.05

13%

FC Volendam

7.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.0%

Home win

3 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.56

AZ Alkmaar xG

Total xG

3.59

1.03

FC Volendam xG

70%
17%
13%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Volendam

1.42

70%

Home win

6.05

17%

Draw

7.59

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

36%

AZ Alkmaar

2.81

8%

FC Volendam

12.91

Win to Nil

25%

AZ Alkmaar

4.00

1%

FC Volendam

98.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 7.1 7.3 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 9.0 9.3 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.7 7.9 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 4.9 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
5 2.5 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.558
λ Away (xG) 1.033
Total xG 3.591
League avg home goals 1.674
League avg away goals 1.424
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 1.196
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 1.229
FC Volendam attack strength 0.590
FC Volendam defence strength 1.278
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 17