🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
31%
3.19
20%
4.90
48%
2.07
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
8.1%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
7.4%
Draw
2 – 2
7.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.76
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
3.96
2.20
Ajax xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
3.19
31%
Home win
4.90
20%
Draw
2.07
48%
Away win
Goals Markets
91%
Over 1.5
1.10
9%
Under 1.5
11.11
76%
Over 2.5
1.32
24%
Under 2.5
4.17
56%
Over 3.5
1.79
44%
Under 3.5
2.27
36%
Over 4.5
2.78
64%
Under 4.5
1.56
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
74%
BTTS Yes
1.36
26%
BTTS No
3.79
Clean Sheet
11%
9.02
17%
5.80
Win to Nil
3%
28.79
8%
12.01
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 3.4 | 7.4 | 8.1 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.758
λ Away (xG)
2.199
Total xG
3.957
League avg home goals
1.662
League avg away goals
1.427
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
0.968
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
1.163
Ajax attack strength
1.325
Ajax defence strength
1.093
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 55