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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

41%

Almere City FC

2.43

26%

Draw

3.88

33%

NAC Breda

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

2.68

1.26

NAC Breda xG

41%
26%
33%
Almere City FCDrawNAC Breda

2.43

41%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

28%

Almere City FC

3.51

24%

NAC Breda

4.17

Win to Nil

12%

Almere City FC

8.56

8%

NAC Breda

12.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 8.6 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.7 12.2 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 8.7 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.3 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.428
λ Away (xG) 1.257
Total xG 2.685
League avg home goals 1.657
League avg away goals 1.270
Almere City FC attack strength 0.685
Almere City FC defence strength 1.369
NAC Breda attack strength 0.722
NAC Breda defence strength 1.259
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 25