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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

13:30

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajax Win

11%

Almere City FC

9.15

18%

Draw

5.65

71%

Ajax

1.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

11.4%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.22

2.39

Ajax xG

18%
71%
Almere City FCDrawAjax

9.15

11%

Home win

5.65

18%

Draw

1.40

71%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

9%

Almere City FC

10.87

43%

Ajax

2.31

Win to Nil

1%

Almere City FC

99.45

31%

Ajax

3.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 9.5 11.4 9.0 5.4 2.6
1 3.3 8.0 9.5 7.5 4.5 2.1
2 1.4 3.3 4.0 3.2 1.9 0.9
3 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.836
λ Away (xG) 2.386
Total xG 3.222
League avg home goals 1.647
League avg away goals 1.295
Almere City FC attack strength 0.724
Almere City FC defence strength 1.473
Ajax attack strength 1.251
Ajax defence strength 0.702
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57