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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
74%
1.34
15%
6.86
11%
9.07
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.7%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
8.5%
Home win
3 – 1
8.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.81
Ajax xG
Total xG
3.84
1.03
Waalwijk xG
AjaxDrawWaalwijk
1.34
74%
Home win
6.86
15%
Draw
9.07
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
90%
Over 1.5
1.11
10%
Under 1.5
10.00
74%
Over 2.5
1.35
26%
Under 2.5
3.85
53%
Over 3.5
1.89
47%
Under 3.5
2.13
34%
Over 4.5
2.94
66%
Under 4.5
1.52
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
60%
BTTS Yes
1.66
40%
BTTS No
2.52
Clean Sheet
36%
2.79
6%
16.68
Win to Nil
27%
3.75
1%
151.19
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.814
λ Away (xG)
1.027
Total xG
3.841
League avg home goals
1.709
League avg away goals
1.297
Ajax attack strength
1.263
Ajax defence strength
0.792
Waalwijk attack strength
1.000
Waalwijk defence strength
1.304
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
51 / 51