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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
62%
1.62
23%
4.37
15%
6.47
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.0%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 0
9.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.11
Ajax xG
Total xG
3.10
0.99
Telstar xG
AjaxDrawTelstar
1.62
62%
Home win
4.37
23%
Draw
6.47
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.77
43%
BTTS No
2.31
Clean Sheet
37%
2.70
12%
8.25
Win to Nil
23%
4.37
2%
53.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 9.5 | 9.4 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.110
λ Away (xG)
0.992
Total xG
3.102
League avg home goals
1.774
League avg away goals
1.211
Ajax attack strength
1.034
Ajax defence strength
0.963
Telstar attack strength
0.850
Telstar defence strength
1.150
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
34 / 0