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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
78%
1.29
15%
6.78
8%
13.04
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
12.2%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
10.6%
Home win
1 – 0
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.61
Ajax xG
Total xG
3.33
0.72
NAC Breda xG
AjaxDrawNAC Breda
1.29
78%
Home win
6.78
15%
Draw
13.04
8%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.10
52%
BTTS No
1.91
Clean Sheet
49%
2.05
7%
13.57
Win to Nil
38%
2.64
1%
176.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 9.4 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 12.2 | 8.8 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 10.6 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 6.9 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.608
λ Away (xG)
0.717
Total xG
3.325
League avg home goals
1.583
League avg away goals
1.338
Ajax attack strength
1.296
Ajax defence strength
0.753
NAC Breda attack strength
0.712
NAC Breda defence strength
1.271
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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