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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
53%
1.88
23%
4.26
23%
4.27
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.2%
Home win
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.76
Ajax xG
Total xG
2.85
1.09
Fortuna Sittard xG
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
1.88
53%
Home win
4.26
23%
Draw
4.27
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.82
45%
BTTS No
2.22
Clean Sheet
34%
2.97
17%
5.82
Win to Nil
18%
5.60
4%
24.82
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.2 | 11.1 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 9.8 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.761
λ Away (xG)
1.090
Total xG
2.851
League avg home goals
1.619
League avg away goals
1.444
Ajax attack strength
1.012
Ajax defence strength
0.825
Fortuna Sittard attack strength
0.915
Fortuna Sittard defence strength
1.075
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
56 / 56