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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

13:30

Venue

Johan Cruijff Arena

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Feyenoord Win

27%

Ajax

3.76

24%

Draw

4.22

50%

Feyenoord

2.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Ajax xG

Total xG

2.93

1.73

Feyenoord xG

27%
24%
50%
AjaxDrawFeyenoord

3.76

27%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

2.01

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

18%

Ajax

5.63

30%

Feyenoord

3.33

Win to Nil

5%

Ajax

21.15

15%

Feyenoord

6.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 9.2 8.0 4.6 2.0 0.7
1 6.4 11.1 9.6 5.5 2.4 0.8
2 3.9 6.7 5.8 3.3 1.4 0.5
3 1.5 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.203
λ Away (xG) 1.728
Total xG 2.931
League avg home goals 1.706
League avg away goals 1.435
Ajax attack strength 0.904
Ajax defence strength 0.868
Feyenoord attack strength 1.386
Feyenoord defence strength 0.780
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49