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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 2 Feb 2025

13:30

Venue

Johan Cruijff ArenA

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajax Win

47%

Ajax

2.12

24%

Draw

4.23

29%

Feyenoord

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Ajax xG

Total xG

3.09

1.34

Feyenoord xG

47%
24%
29%
AjaxDrawFeyenoord

2.12

47%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.58

Clean Sheet

26%

Ajax

3.82

17%

Feyenoord

5.78

Win to Nil

12%

Ajax

8.10

5%

Feyenoord

19.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 6.1 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.0 10.7 7.1 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 7.0 9.3 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.3
3 4.1 5.5 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.754
λ Away (xG) 1.339
Total xG 3.093
League avg home goals 1.674
League avg away goals 1.384
Ajax attack strength 1.185
Ajax defence strength 0.771
Feyenoord attack strength 1.255
Feyenoord defence strength 0.884
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53